Predictions that Matter to Us

1. What would you, personally, most like to know about the future? 
Phrase your answer as a question, and explain it in just a few sentences.  The question can relate to your own personal future, or a societal-level future.

2. Think about ways that people (not necessarily you) anywhere, today, would seek predictive answers to the question you posed above. Write just a few paragraphs (not more than the equivalent of 1 page) about the predictive systems the person seeking to the answer to your question might use.  Consider questions such as: When/where did the system originate? Is it likely to be reliable? How can you evaluate uncertainty using it? Would you use this system? in answering this part.  No need to answer all of these sample questions, and feel free to include other thoughts--our goal as a group in our Seminar meeting in Week 2, will be to discuss the nature of various predictive systems in the context of the questions you raise.

Instructions about how to post your answers to PredictionX.org (which will generate a URL) will be sent via email. Feel free to get started on your answer using any editor you like, and move it to the PredictionX.org site any time before Wednesday morning.